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Peter Donnelly: How juries are fooled by statistics

Oxford mathematician Peter Donnelly reveals the common mistakes humans make in interpreting statistics — and the devastating impact these errors can have on the outcome of criminal cases.

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Hi Rob. Great to see your email in my inbox again. Hope you are well. Thanks for some great insight as usual. Just thought I’d update you on how things are going with me. I’m feeling more happiness and joy every day. Sure, I have my down days when my job gets on my nerves and people annoy me, but they’re getting fewer. I’m still in the career that I’m not sure is for me, but I’m in a much better place mentally now. I think a lot of my stress before came from wanting something better RIGHT NOW, but now I’ve realised that, yes, this career may not be for me, but I’m just looking for the right opportunity/direction and keeping myself in a good place until it shows itself to me. I’ve also just got married – back from honeymoon for 2 weeks now and things are going great. I’d just like to say thanks for your help when we exchanged emails last year. You’ve helped (along with others) to enable me to get a better mind set on life and I feel I can deal with most things from this secure baseline. p.s., your mantra of “do you want to be right or happy?” seems to work well in marriage, as I’m never right, so the default is happy! Warmest regards
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Love it – just waiting for the next instalment – all makes sense to me so far. Keep up the good work. I read all your mail and think it’s great stuff.
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Peter Donnelly: How juries are fooled by statistics

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